October 10, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Close Image | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Figura | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Who’s That | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosebud’s Hope | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Poem | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Juxtapose | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dreams Are Free | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Playing Smart | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Screen Diva | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thats Bomb | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Chopper | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Typically | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Allure | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win Lose Or Straw | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katz You Later | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Dynamite | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Spin | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tragically Quewick | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Toll | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Score | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Storm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Longandshortofit | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shedat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pacenza | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Friends | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Speed | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Eye | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queen’s Speed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trading Bay | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Sloan | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Off My Tail | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Good Witch | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tara Dawn | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Samantha’s Joy | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L’Amour Toujours | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dashi | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elite Speed | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Andher Court | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Beach | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bearthestorm | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glorafly Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bless and Honor | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jungle Goddess | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well You Startedit | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leave It With Me | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twocankeepasecret | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tickle Her Toe | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Company | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silenzio | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Jess | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cup And Saucer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Credit River | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Spy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond My Dreams | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dragon’s Brew | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Download | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Threefiftyseven | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Horseshoe | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Waters | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Legit | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tranquility Base | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahana | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Edition | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Sheriff | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robusto | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Gump | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandretti | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Like Me | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Northern Cross | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glinda Good Witch | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dallian M. | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saved At the Wire | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cigarillo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Divine Genesis | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Naughty Mabel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tourist Attraction | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Raconter | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kentucky Fan | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Endorphin Rush | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Signature Dish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | March of Dreams | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Heavenly Curlin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Niigon’s Spin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Caira | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Coldwater | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Day Dayenu | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bayou Belle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crystal Glacier | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Enchanted Lady | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grand Mesa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lake Manitou | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | November Fog | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.