Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 10, 2020

October 10, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flash Is Back 30.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Brightwood 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Johng 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Zen Pi 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Good Luck Legacy 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Determined Focus 6.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Roof Top Bar 3.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Hinting 4.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 If I Could Run 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hair of the Dog 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Big Perm 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Embeed 3.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Revenger 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Tiz Auction Time 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Trustyourinstinct 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Magic Mule 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 1.40 2.8 5-1
5 5 One Niner Tango 4.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fair Catch 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 To the Front 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Shelly Island 4.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 No Fooling Dude 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sin Bin 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mister Frank’s Way 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Confusion Baby Boy 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Don Jupp 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Scorched by Fire 30.00 3 6-1
12 12 Power Back 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Wondermeister 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 B Determined 15.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Belmullet 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Itshouldbefine 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 First in Show 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Global Nation 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 The Boss of You 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Don’tbaggagecheck 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Inspired Gem 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Expect Talk 12.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Adabel 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Arbutus 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Majorie Mugs 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 A Toast to Kay 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Trellis 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Meet Michelle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rapid Response 6.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Katie’s Notion 15.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Count the Shells 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Get Lit 12.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 What Does It Take 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 King Alan 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Here Comes Rudy 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Starburst 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Doubleoseven 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Treasure Tradition 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Ferocious Storm 20.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 English Tavern 20.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 War Lance 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 McElmore Avenue 1.40 1.7 3-1
11 11 Welling 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Striking It Lucky 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Seville Row 4.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Bear Treasure 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Backwoods Boogie 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Awesome Jazz 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mint Game 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Silent Malice 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Galatians 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 R V Treasure 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kilronan 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Officer Country 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Persevered 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Elusive Motion 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Rum Bobby 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Survey (IRE) 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Glacier Park 5.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Eje Gama 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Yes Means No 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Imaginethejoy 15.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Galactic Slam 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Naked in Cabo 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Infinity 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bob’s Glory 30.00 3.4 6-1
13 13 Curlee Fox 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Don Ciccio 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Santo 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lasting Image 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kisses for Heidi 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Vanna Belle 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Bourbon Wildcat 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Paynterbynumbers 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 C Two 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Love My Cat 12.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Rona 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Gold Finch 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Polish Cookie 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lemon Drop Kiss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bethabara 4.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Lookin Dynamic 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Waiting for a Star 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Beacon of Truth 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Gallinella 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Jumpstartmyheart 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Good Life Cider 5.00 2 4-1
9 9 Mahkato 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Margie’s Heaven 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Irishtown 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Big Boots 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Voodoo Valley 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Five Card Draw 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cool Man Cletus 20.00 1.9 3-1
7A 7 Viper 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Robber Bob 1.80 4.3 8-1
3A 3 Chuck’s Dream 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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