October 10, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Chuck’s Dream | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appraised | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Korczak | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yei Yei | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Upper Crown | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Warrior | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Gros Bill | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Viper | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Railmaster | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Piu Bella | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Why Joey Why | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Colonel Tom | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Chess Master | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hollywood Talent | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Starship | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Phish Fan | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Keeping the Peace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feyre | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twirling Thrill | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flyin It | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Will Take Roses | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sinead Raid | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Acadian Girl | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Nor Per Ours | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chantaje | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Comply | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Take Profit | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sam in Style | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Night Things | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arrogant Man | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heroic Deed | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gun Law | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Recycle | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nefarious Fella | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Clutch Player | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Nevermindninetyone | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petawawa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tio Juan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gray Haze | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vics Cool Cat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worstbestideaever | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Had the Notion | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Bop a Lola | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace a New Day | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | The Want of a Nail | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Small Hope | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mt Suribachi | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alphastest | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Mazzy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centerfoldprospect | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Neat Street | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kamehameha | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mead Avenue | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellarmine Hall | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Marden | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ahsad | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Its a Journey | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shyza | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getouttamyway | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Good Times | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamer’s Moon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancer’s Melody | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | A Ring Thing | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Curls | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mucha Suerte | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maliceinthepalace | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Three Coins | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweeping Cherry | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talks in Her Sleep | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brass Beret | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Her Justice | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willow Drive | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Black Coast | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tourbillon Rose | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steely Band | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wee Arch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.