October 10, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Girl | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lem Me Have It | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firenze Freedom | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellarella | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jimmy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blitchton Lady | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Dawn | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheatham Hill | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desbordes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Violent Point | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Robin Sparkles | 1.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grudge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer At the Spa | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jen’s Battle | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shesasuperfreak | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | City Temper | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Towering Gaze | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Screamin’ By | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wailin Josie | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinky Sox | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Go Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Doll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Counterparty Risk (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Girl Herself | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nubian | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pinch of Grace (GB) | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alemia | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zaccapa (FR) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Translate | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | M Is for Magic | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Slip Sliding Away | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High Opinion | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vienna Code | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chick Be Quick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reinvestment Risk | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie’s Warrior | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bourbon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil War | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ambivalent | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Casper Run | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cantata | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vequist | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dayoutoftheoffice | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy’s Rocket | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get On the Bus | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cilla | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifth Risk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Newbomb | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risk Taking | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overtook | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weyburn | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nova Rags | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enough Nonsense | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Cash | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jailbreaker | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Everest (GB) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Connagh’s Quay | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardison | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collision Course | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cracker Box Palace | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Love | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stand With Mo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blu Grotto | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Houdini’s Awesome | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mira Mission | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Redemption | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spirit Maker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Simovitch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rock Sugar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil Union | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cambier Parc | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Lucky | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Signare (FR) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Belle | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tacitus | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prioritize | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Guide | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Saver | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Name Changer | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tamahere (FR) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Selflessly | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss J McKay | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Wow | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speaktomeofsummer | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giacosa | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop a Hint | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positive Power | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Herald Angel | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amity Island | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Promised Road | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mon Cherie | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Stella Mars | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Star | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Violentiam | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Hall Queen | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cinderella’s Cause | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock N Warrior | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adriatic Rose | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kreesa La Wrote | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Athena Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Nebo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.