October 9, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chipper | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luvluv | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamba Cool | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River North | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | With Due Cause | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trevor T | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ultimate Mystery | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gee Gee Whiz | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Kitty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impression | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pubilius Syrus | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitter Ring Home | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vodka Twist | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Day | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sybil’s Kitty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bounty of Gold | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Grace | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Senoradiablo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Give Me a Hint | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mama’s Kid | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Ranger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Takes a Village | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | After Midnight | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Andy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Girl | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ever Ready | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Stretch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St Helena | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sideways Suances | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steinway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Renegade Princess | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stars of Bluegrass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Supernova Wildcat | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Princess Sadie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fratelli | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preaching Trainer | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Finish | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Offshore Affair | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rinse and Repeat | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agamemnon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Frasard (GB) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Comradery (IRE) | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Path | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Indy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | K P D Day | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Juror | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Temple Secret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | A. P. Pharoah | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Silent Musketier | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oculus | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drippin Sauce | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Promise | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Howbeit | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leprino | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Nothing | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie’s Boy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shootin Money | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Uncaptured Hero | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Border Town | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maestro Dearte | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | North County Guy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untamed Domain | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musawaat (GB) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marckie’s Water | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zestful | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | King Parker | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Convex | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Flight | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sorriso | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Gronk | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Etterbay Ucklay | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Jones | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Cheddar | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nesbitt | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nietzsche | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Minoso | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bedrock | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | You’reright Again | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Sunset | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.