Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 9, 2020

October 9, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – M. Tyson Gilpin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tea in China 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Sweet Lady Sue 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Determined Love 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Virginia Beach 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Wolverette 4.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 What the Beep 0.60 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wall 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Life in Flash 30.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Lucid Dream 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Battle Ready 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Approvethismessage 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Campari 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Glengar 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Sunman 1.80 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Brookmeade S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bella Aurora 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Tasting the Stars 1.60 1.3 3-1
3 3 Pink Pearl 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Fionnbharr 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Secret Or Not 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Rollover Risk 30.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hall Pass 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Awesome D J 6.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Zenden 1.40 1.4 3-1
6 6 Fortunate Friends 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Saratoga Jack 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jamestown S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kenny Had a Notion 1.20 1.5 3-1
4 4 Cool Enough 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Point of Grace 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Pauping 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Virginia Fib 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Canherun 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Rshepherdsgait 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Runaway Star 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 5 Neverfold 30.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Neverhaveneverwill 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Despite Odds 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 True Shipman 30.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Nic Nic Boom 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Cecil the Lion 30.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Little Bay 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Not Telling 30.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Whats the Chances 15.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Bean Pole 30.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Grays the Bar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bert Allen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Great Camanoe 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Largent 0.40 1.6 3-1
8 8 Kendama 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Divine Interventio 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tolaga Bay 30.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 River Deep 20.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ismusbemyluckyday 30.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Black Prong 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Punch Line S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lynchburg 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Fly E Dubai 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ready to Run 12.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Uncle Andrew 12.00 2 4-1
13 13 Carbon Data 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Embolden 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Goodluckchuck 20.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Sir Rockport 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Lime House Louie 15.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Reform School 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tempting Moment 50.00 2.6 5-1
14 14 Matsuda 50.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Boondoggle 50.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Braxton 15.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Calypso Ghost 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Wicked T 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tweet Away Robin 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Hoss Kitten 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Third Card Down 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Punk Rock Princess 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Stated 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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