Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 9, 2020

October 9, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bossy Bride 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Daria’s Angel 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Team Win 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Maiden Beauty 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Flat Awesome Jenny 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Stay Fond 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Awesome Alana 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Anzio Beach 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Southerner 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Pier Forty 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Wild Cat West 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Kickin’ Kirby 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Tri Saint Lorenzo 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Breithorn 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Mr. Fidget 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lorenzen 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ballerina Showgirl (GB) 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Bastet 1.20 2.1 4-1
1 1 June Ann (IRE) 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Zerenia 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Buyer’s Remorse 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sevnteeneightysevn 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Rapido Gatta 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Roma Carpe 50.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malathaat 1.20 1.1 2-1
2 2 Caramel Swirl 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Aunt Naughty 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Well Kept Secret 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Orbs Baby Girl 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ready Seeker 12.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Ancient Times 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 6 Mr. Kringle 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Danfusi 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Quiet Out East 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Simply 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 No Lime 3.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Jack the Cat 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Too Early 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Sanctuary City 8.00 6.6 13-1
11 9 Market Bubble 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Coragescontender 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Durkin’s Call 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Vicar’s Legend 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Financial Freedom 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Summer Bourbon 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Vincero 2.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Win With Pride 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Our Honor 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ethan Hunt 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Swiping Dan 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Real Dan 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Tale of Mist 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cold Hard Cash 1.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Good Old Boy 3.00 3 6-1
11 9 Microsecond 2.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Beach Access 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jo’s Bold Cat 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 10 Stanhope 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Fly Fly Away 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Point Him Out 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Operative 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Freedom and Whisky 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Jimmy Jazz 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Kampai 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mischief Afoot 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 First Line 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Heirloom Kitten 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Adare 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Forza Di Oro 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Will Sing for Wine 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dudley Square 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fed Funds 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orglandes (FR) 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Bacchanalia 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sorrentina Lemon 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cap de Creus 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bramble Queen 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Out of Trouble 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 9 Hard Count 2.50 1.4 3-1
13A 12 Red Mule 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Crack Shot 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Spitball 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 What’s to Blame 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Awesome Ammo 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Adios Amigos 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Our Troubadour 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Halstaat 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 No More Miracles 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Coolboy 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 That Quality 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Quintarelli 50.00 9 17-1
14 14 Double Shot 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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