October 9, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Bride | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Team Win | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Fond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Alana | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Anzio Beach | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southerner | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pier Forty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Cat West | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kickin’ Kirby | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Breithorn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Fidget | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lorenzen | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ballerina Showgirl (GB) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bastet | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | June Ann (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zerenia | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buyer’s Remorse | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sevnteeneightysevn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Rapido Gatta | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malathaat | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Swirl | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Naughty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Well Kept Secret | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orbs Baby Girl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Seeker | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Ancient Times | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Kringle | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danfusi | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Lime | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Jack the Cat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Early | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sanctuary City | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Market Bubble | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coragescontender | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vicar’s Legend | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Financial Freedom | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vincero | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Win With Pride | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Honor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Dan | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cold Hard Cash | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Good Old Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Microsecond | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Access | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Stanhope | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fly Fly Away | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Him Out | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Operative | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom and Whisky | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jimmy Jazz | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kampai | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Afoot | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Line | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heirloom Kitten | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adare | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forza Di Oro | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Sing for Wine | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dudley Square | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Funds | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Orglandes (FR) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bacchanalia | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sorrentina Lemon | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cap de Creus | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Queen | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Trouble | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 9 | Hard Count | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13A | 12 | Red Mule | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crack Shot | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Blame | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Ammo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Adios Amigos | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Troubadour | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Halstaat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No More Miracles | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coolboy | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That Quality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Double Shot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.