Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 8, 2020

October 8, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 French Charm 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Roche’s Point 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Words of Gold 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Purple Scooter 2.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Onezy’s Dream 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Later Gator 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Flat Out Fabulous 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silent Empire 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Denmark 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Winsroy 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 My Ladies’ Man 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Double the Heart 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Cause for Alarm 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ghost Island 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Countryside Drive 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Savvy Layla 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Summer Load 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Royal Bourbon 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Music Tribute 3.00 4 8-1
9 8 Forgotten Treasure 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dancing Zazinga 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dr. Jewel 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Royal Fanfare 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Heehaa 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 First Prince 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grazely 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Viature 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Irving 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Daddyplaystheblues 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Owen’s Souper Moon 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Canadian Pharoah 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Blue Snow 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Union Appreciation 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Big Time Gizmo 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Theregoesjojo 1.40 2.4 4-1
5 4 Peace Seeker 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 English Classic 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Artistico 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 English Illusion 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Insider Trading 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Veloce 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Silent Sister 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 High Society Girl 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 8 Red Equinox 5.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Speedy Lynn 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 For My Elbi 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 War Empress 10.00 4 8-1
6 5 Matthaus 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Spark Away 15.00 6 11-1
5 4 Tara Empire 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Taquanyah 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tranquil Sky 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lapochka 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Florida Won 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Frankie Barone 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Glenville Gardens 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Piccadilly Beau 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Night Watchman 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 First Spring 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Other Things Equal 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 King and His Court 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Aheadbyacentury 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Northern Diamond 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 California Lily 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Polar Appeal 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 A. A. Tzarina 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Big Ginger 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Secrets Told 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Reign by Rein 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Swift Delilah 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Fedalia 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Only Believe 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Few Regrets 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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