October 8, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | French Charm | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roche’s Point | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Words of Gold | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purple Scooter | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onezy’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Later Gator | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Fabulous | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Empire | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Denmark | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winsroy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Ladies’ Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double the Heart | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cause for Alarm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghost Island | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Savvy Layla | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Load | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Music Tribute | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forgotten Treasure | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Zazinga | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Jewel | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Fanfare | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heehaa | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grazely | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Viature | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irving | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddyplaystheblues | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Pharoah | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Snow | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Appreciation | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Time Gizmo | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Theregoesjojo | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peace Seeker | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Classic | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Artistico | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Illusion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Insider Trading | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veloce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Silent Sister | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High Society Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Equinox | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Speedy Lynn | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | For My Elbi | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Empress | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Matthaus | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spark Away | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tara Empire | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taquanyah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tranquil Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lapochka | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Won | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie Barone | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glenville Gardens | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piccadilly Beau | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Night Watchman | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Spring | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Other Things Equal | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King and His Court | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aheadbyacentury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Northern Diamond | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Lily | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Appeal | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A. A. Tzarina | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Ginger | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secrets Told | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reign by Rein | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Delilah | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fedalia | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Only Believe | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Few Regrets | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.