Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 8, 2020

October 8, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kadesh 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Victory Boulevard 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Hombrazo 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Mexican Wonder Boy 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Stock Deal 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dack Janiel’s 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Parking Ticket 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Four K’s 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 French Rose 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Dreamin’ of Munny 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sunset Paula Jo 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Gianna’s Gift 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 And Isles 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zoikes (FR) 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 7 Demeter 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Anamuya 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Mummy Dearest 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Miss Eau de Vie 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Cuzzywuzzy 6.00 8 15-1
14 12 Eventide (FR) 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Flutiste 5.00 8.7 16-1
10 9 Wild Story 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 Cerulean 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Yaba Daba Diva 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Miss Adeline 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Eileen Alexandra 3.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Amber Waves 20.00 10.8 20-1
12 11 Queen of the Green 20.00 10.8 20-1
6 5 Klayton’s Kandy 15.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bird King 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ragtime Blues 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sonneman 1.60 2.9 6-1
3 3 Big Dreaming 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 What a Country 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Cernan 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Portal One 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Sir Acealot 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Big Sky Montana 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Strikeitortapit 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Algebraic 5.00 4 8-1
10 9 Town Agenda 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Fast Bob 5.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Causeican 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Mr. Banyan 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Gator Romp 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Soviet 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pit Boss 1.20 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ghost Fighter 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Treasury 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Jealous Eyes 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Mascabroni 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rye Humor 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Beaver Creek 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eliade (FR) 2.00 3 6-1
9 9 Romantic Pursuit 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tizahra 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Delta’s Kingdom 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Kettle Valley 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Cambeliza 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Joy of Treasure 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Latest Version 15.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Tweety Show 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Financial One 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 7 Villanelle 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 4 Powder River 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Eclectic Soul 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Sovereign Appeal 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Best Intentions 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 1 Bellucci 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Tizemotionalgold 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Chocolate Swirl 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Cool Celeste 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Black Magic Woman 3.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Hero of Love 50.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ramsey Solution 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Mr Dumas 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Spectacular Gem 3.00 3.2 6-1
3A 3 American Tattoo (ARG) 4.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Big Score 5.00 3.9 7-1
9A 7 English Bee 4.00 5.6 11-1
11 8 Monarchs Glen (GB) 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Renaisance Frolic 12.00 5.9 11-1
5B 5 Title Ready 15.00 SCRATCH
8B 8 Perfect Tapatino (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jasikan (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It Was Meant to Be 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sheshappy 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ambitiously Placed 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 7 Spy a Star 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dance On Over 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Izeonpoint 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Little Bird Flash 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Esagerare 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Twirling Wildcat 6.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Special Blue 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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