Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 8, 2020
October 8, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kadesh | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Boulevard | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hombrazo | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stock Deal | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dack Janiel’s | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parking Ticket | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four K’s | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Rose | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamin’ of Munny | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Paula Jo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gianna’s Gift | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | And Isles | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zoikes (FR) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Demeter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anamuya | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mummy Dearest | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Eau de Vie | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cuzzywuzzy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Eventide (FR) | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flutiste | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wild Story | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cerulean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yaba Daba Diva | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Adeline | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Eileen Alexandra | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Amber Waves | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Queen of the Green | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Klayton’s Kandy | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bird King | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Blues | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonneman | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Dreaming | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Country | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cernan | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Portal One | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Acealot | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Sky Montana | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strikeitortapit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Algebraic | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Town Agenda | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Bob | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causeican | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Banyan | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gator Romp | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soviet | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pit Boss | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Fighter | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasury | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jealous Eyes | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mascabroni | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rye Humor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beaver Creek | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eliade (FR) | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Romantic Pursuit | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizahra | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delta’s Kingdom | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kettle Valley | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cambeliza | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joy of Treasure | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latest Version | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tweety Show | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Financial One | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Villanelle | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Powder River | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eclectic Soul | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sovereign Appeal | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Best Intentions | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bellucci | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizemotionalgold | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chocolate Swirl | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Celeste | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Black Magic Woman | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Hero of Love | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ramsey Solution | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Dumas | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spectacular Gem | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Score | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | English Bee | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Renaisance Frolic | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Title Ready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8B | 8 | Perfect Tapatino (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jasikan (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | It Was Meant to Be | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheshappy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambitiously Placed | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Spy a Star | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance On Over | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Izeonpoint | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bird Flash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Esagerare | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Wildcat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Special Blue | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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