October 8, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vermont Billy | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Profile | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Uncle Moonlight | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Twelth Man | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Fury | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ethos | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Justintimeforwine | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Fivestar Bandit | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sidd Finch | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Nero’s Fiddle | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Perfect Banker | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Jet for Andy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | True Palace | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Being Me | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Tone | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kingfish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stash My Money | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Fidget | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Top of the Mint | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Open Lengths | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Taos (FR) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayabusa One (FR) | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hieroglyphics | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zero Gravity | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Duc de Calas (FR) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petit Fils (FR) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Expert | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cover Photo | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Lassie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zecha | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dirty Bird | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On Deck | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Movie Score | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Love Jaxson | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Tom | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Hollywood | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Last Buck | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamax Prime | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freaky Styley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Amano | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Compliant | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Tide | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bail Out | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magic Mojo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Carmine | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holy Emperor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | This Ill Defend | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Feeling Dangerous | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnnypump | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Il Primo Sole (GB) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild William | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Smile Bryan | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tenure | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Qian B C | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen’s Mason | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Light the Posse | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Power Up Paynter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mission Wrapitup | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cavaradossi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tiergan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quickflash | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inside Info | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Sip | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Whiskey | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bears Mafia | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riken | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boy Mo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Microscope | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Number One Dillon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samay | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Festina Plente (GB) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notorious R B G | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bean Counter | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fetching | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Little Faith | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Break Curfew | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cost Benefit (GB) | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Kisses | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bay Jewel | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dovey Lovey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brass Ring | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Prairie Fire | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Panster | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Tact Toe | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Navy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whatmakessammyrun | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sinashack | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Stormy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ruse | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dressy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stretch the Truth | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom’s Choice | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Banker | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Sugar | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Scotty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bellagio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.