Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 7, 2020

October 7, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 I’m Thirsty 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Frisky Whiskey 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Lookingforanewspot 2.00 4 8-1
8 6 Livin a Dream 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 5 Abaco Dream 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Top Hat Tizzy 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Rose of Dublin 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Baaqeya 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8B 7 Just a Thought 1.60 1 2-1
10B 9 Smokum Peace Pipe 1.60 1.2 2-1
3A 2 Ilovecharlybrown 3.50 2 4-1
2A 1 Downtown Doc Brown 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Jammin Jamie 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Marvalous Mike 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Call Me G Q 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Classy American 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Missed the Bus 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Memory Bouquet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr Classical 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Overbold 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Grand Oasis 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Town Jak 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Boat Over the Hill 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dooley 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 West Fork 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Vero Sun 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Discreetly Tough 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Our Dixie Blue 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tudox Rue Majestic 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jumpintoaction 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Corbally 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Risque’s Jewel 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Run Florence Run 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Glossy Madrina 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Three Potatoe Four 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Catch Fire 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Luxury Suite 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 True Wisdom 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Flat Rate 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tommy’s Top Cat 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Iron Lion 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Geebert 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Karen’s Gem 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Rumor Ridge 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 4 Atina Salsa 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Sold On Salsa 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Double the Bet 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Prospective Belle 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Her Divineness 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Two Carat 3.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Valiant Spirit 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Soul Planet 2.50 4.5 8-1
6 5 Zensational Dixie 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Iza One 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Willthisshipsail 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ice Cream Party 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Lucky’s Ransom 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Dancingthehnydaway 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Point Lockout 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bellamy Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Democratic Norms 1.20 1.9 4-1
4A 4 Principino 3.00 2 4-1
1A 1 Mischievous Juan 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Doctor Doom 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Artistic Endeavor 8.00 3.2 6-1
5B 5 Go Lime 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Imminent Danger 20.00 5.3 10-1
6B 6 Celtic Heart 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crypt 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Storm Factor 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 I Got a Rock 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Call Wil 5.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 They Shot Sonny 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Psychic Energy 6.00 7.3 14-1
12 8 Street Tail 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Amblin Man 15.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Bano Solo 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Niko Strong 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ask Chuck 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Apache Brave 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 For the Road 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tomater Gator 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Saratoga Wildcat 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 What About Tonight 2.50 4.4 8-1
11 11 Imperial Lady 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Misses Knight 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 La Purissima 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Congressionalstorm 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Woman Flyer 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Enigmatica 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Risque Express 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 To the Flag 4.50 7.7 15-1
8 8 Elissas Secret 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Girl Powder 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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