October 7, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Frisky Whiskey | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lookingforanewspot | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Livin a Dream | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Abaco Dream | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Top Hat Tizzy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose of Dublin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baaqeya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8B | 7 | Just a Thought | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10B | 9 | Smokum Peace Pipe | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Ilovecharlybrown | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Downtown Doc Brown | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jammin Jamie | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marvalous Mike | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Call Me G Q | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy American | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Missed the Bus | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Bouquet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr Classical | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overbold | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town Jak | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boat Over the Hill | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dooley | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | West Fork | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discreetly Tough | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Dixie Blue | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tudox Rue Majestic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jumpintoaction | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corbally | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risque’s Jewel | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Florence Run | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glossy Madrina | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Three Potatoe Four | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catch Fire | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luxury Suite | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Wisdom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Rate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tommy’s Top Cat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Lion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Geebert | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Karen’s Gem | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rumor Ridge | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atina Salsa | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sold On Salsa | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double the Bet | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prospective Belle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Her Divineness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Two Carat | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Valiant Spirit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Planet | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zensational Dixie | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iza One | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Willthisshipsail | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Cream Party | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky’s Ransom | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancingthehnydaway | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Lockout | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Democratic Norms | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Principino | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Mischievous Juan | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Doctor Doom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Artistic Endeavor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Go Lime | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imminent Danger | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6B | 6 | Celtic Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crypt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Storm Factor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Got a Rock | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call Wil | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | They Shot Sonny | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Psychic Energy | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Street Tail | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amblin Man | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bano Solo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Niko Strong | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ask Chuck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Apache Brave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | For the Road | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tomater Gator | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Wildcat | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | What About Tonight | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Imperial Lady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misses Knight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Purissima | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congressionalstorm | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woman Flyer | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enigmatica | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risque Express | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | To the Flag | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elissas Secret | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Powder | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.