October 7, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dashing Lou | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Relishment | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Relentless Lion | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sincere Man | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Cal | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Empty Nestr | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfetto | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Theduke of Hazzard | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Sun | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | End All Get All | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rush Henry Rush | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laurel Lad | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fausto Gold | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 4 | Blues Mary | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Savvy Ally | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Flyingontheground | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Glittering Judy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gray Haze | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Spin Control | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fightress | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Lady Boss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cultural Mandate | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Market Money | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Moon Over Victoria | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Blaze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady of Loreto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Drive In | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outkickthecoverage | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hitch a Ride | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not On My Watch | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guns Blazing | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tapit’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cali Divine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Happy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Mags | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Has a Name | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smooth B | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Lenny | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absentee | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ace Nine Nine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sound Off | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chublicious | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | La Babia | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Brand | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deciding Vote | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Platinum Paynter | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Amanite | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memphis Showboat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happycrest | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stars Forever | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sundrenched | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosalah | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Happiness | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Charge It | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Athenasway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cold Hearted Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Carpenters Call | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arzak | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shackled Love | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | T Minus Ten | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Last Investment | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Journey | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Dialed In | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tapsasional | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boston Light | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aldo’s Kitten | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frost’s Song | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nashvegas | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bychance | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Edge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Pazible | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.