Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 7, 2020

October 7, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Dashing Lou 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Relishment 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Relentless Lion 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sincere Man 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Southern Cal 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Empty Nestr 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Perfetto 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Theduke of Hazzard 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Silver Sun 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 End All Get All 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Rush Henry Rush 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Admiral’s Boy 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Laurel Lad 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Optimo 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Fausto Gold 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 4 Blues Mary 3.50 2.5 5-1
3A 2 Savvy Ally 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 6 Flyingontheground 2.50 2.7 5-1
14 11 Glittering Judy 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 5 Gray Haze 6.00 4 8-1
12 9 Spin Control 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 3 Fightress 10.00 4.7 9-1
13 10 Lady Boss 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Cultural Mandate 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 7 Market Money 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 8 Moon Over Victoria 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Raging Blaze 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Our Lady of Loreto 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Drive In 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Outkickthecoverage 3.00 1.1 2-1
9 8 Hitch a Ride 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Not On My Watch 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Guns Blazing 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Tapit’s Girl 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Cali Divine 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Call Me Happy 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Magnificent Mags 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Hope Has a Name 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smooth B 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 My Boy Lenny 2.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Absentee 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ace Nine Nine 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sound Off 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Chublicious 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 La Babia 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Global Brand 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Deciding Vote 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Platinum Paynter 10.00 3.9 7-1
13 12 Amanite 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Memphis Showboat 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Happycrest 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Stars Forever 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Sundrenched 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Mosalah 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Happiness 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Don’t Charge It 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Athenasway 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cold Hearted Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Carpenters Call 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Arzak 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Shackled Love 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 5 T Minus Ten 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Last Investment 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Noble Journey 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 So Dialed In 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tapsasional 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boston Light 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Aldo’s Kitten 2.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Frost’s Song 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Nashvegas 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Bychance 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Lafitte’s Fleet 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Silver Edge 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 It’s Pazible 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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