Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 5, 2020

October 5, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twirling Liz 1.60 2.9 5-1
6 6 It’s So Easy 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Congaree Rose 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fleeterthan 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fly Time 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bella G 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gambit 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mass Appeal 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Woodbury 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Jones Taxi 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Eastport 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fist of Thor 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ami’s Artie 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Peyton Elizabeth 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 2 Bravo Regina 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Captiva Star 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Catti La Belle 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 3 Lulinda’s Heart 5.00 3.6 7-1
1A 4 Creative Joy 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 5 Adios Trippi 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Pasatime 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 7 Home by Seven 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Frisky Feeling 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Megalomania 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tiberian Empress 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 African Song 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Tiny Turbo 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Dilly Dedalus 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Bella Lucia 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 All Right Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nancy B 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 8 Florencia 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 With Me Without Me 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 9 Lion and the Wolf 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Free Coffee 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Supergirl Power 12.00 5.3 10-1
1A 7 Kisskiss Telltell 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 10 Tiz a Date 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 4 Lost Point 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Savannah’s Dream 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Teak 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 4 Thousand Percent 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 5 Graves Island 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Irish Colonel 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Rage Away 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Devine Dental 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Hizaam 15.00 5.8 11-1
1A 10 Manolete 3.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Almithmaar 2.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Delinquent 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jayjaydee 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 3 Dynamic Dynasty 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Charly’s Assassin 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 1 Spud 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Comfortably Cool 12.00 5 9-1
11 9 Star Luck 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Babbo Babbo Babbo 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 El Fenomeno 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Fox in the Fog 20.00 9.1 17-1
1A 10 Ticked All Daboxes 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Wiseman’s Secret 20.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Refi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Trilogy 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Golden Spear 1.80 3.5 7-1
9 7 Cloontia 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Gotta Get Away 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Spider Jorgensen 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Smart and Tough 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 5 Eclipsed Moon 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Staynsidethecircle 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Guns of Steel 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bay Bridge 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Late Breaking News 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Creative Genius 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bob’s My Uncle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mister Humor 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Appealing Future 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 4 Baptize the Boy 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Winning Drive 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 The Great Samurai 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Smart Royal T 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Asphalt Paving 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Finglas 2.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Don Polo 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Worth His Salt 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Stormy Justin 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 The Money Train 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Slot 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Kid Mac Cool 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 High Flying Guy 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Howboutdempats 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Banker’s Island 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Diamond Square 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Noble Kent 20.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Mantle 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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