October 5, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Uno Tigress | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Will It Be Love | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bound for Broadway | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucetta’s On Fire | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Walk It Out Nanny | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Three Coins | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Bodemax | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Miss Friesan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Proud Addy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mavilus | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Cleopatra and I | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Greenwood Drive | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Counter Claim | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breeze Off the Bay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anginetti | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Netti Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Bella Nicole | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spritz | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laobanonaprayer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Systematic | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Cheetah | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Digit | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potion | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Mom | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minding Millie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stylish Ninetynine | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Release Me | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby’s Rush | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wee Arch | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Mistress | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normalizeddeviance | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lwf Drive Bye Gal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extravagant Miss | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waka Waka | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Casper Slew | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Philosophy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Blue | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Royal | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fledermaus | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Team Tim | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neidermeyer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolita Boyz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cause for Surprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Dynamic Miss | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lovely Brown | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sooner Girl | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Agave Queen | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tarallucci | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kelcie’s Mandate | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Ms Broadway | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean Delight | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Magicgirl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | So Who’s Back | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smart Red | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropical Frosty | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlet Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Melisande | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Lute | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Annamated Moon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bourbon Street | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ego Man | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wonder In | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hauntedbythemusic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | John’s Promise | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kid Slipper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fernwood Drive | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne’s On Ice | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Fly Zone | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Mister | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Travelin Gambler | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrs Again | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forefront | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Folds of Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.