October 4, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frame This | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizlegal | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Machine | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Penetanguishene | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | All Eyes On Me | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dearfuturehusband | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Allure | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ambitious Princess | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Dragon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Speedy Hans | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Silver | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Dividend | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courting a Kiss | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lead Director | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hierarchy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Soul | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Mojo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tourist’s Dream | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Keen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supplication | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tio Magico | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stephen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Tipsy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready At Dawn | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lomaki’s Gem | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liars Club | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Isadora | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ballrooms of Mars | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beyond Mybudget | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dictate | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Karakontie Flyer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swilling | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simple Souvenir | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sweet Uproar | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | River of Pearls | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Her Joey | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raven’s Song | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Final Strike | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Animal Krackers | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carl G | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Schimmel | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Ice | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Todd | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torah’s Blessing | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G Prince of Silver | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Kodiac Kid (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tall Water | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Martheus | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Have Hope | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mason’s Gamble | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Smoke | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Derzkii | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Coltons Dream | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Dashing | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Executive Giant | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Alpha Beta Gama | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Commander Tom | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Verrazano Bridge | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jr Bourbon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Victory At Last | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Jewel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mnemba Island | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Prideofdistinction | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peace of Ekati | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Olliemyboy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | F F Rocket | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rogue Affair | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Muchokova | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | English Classic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fortuity | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cerrado | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Voltamour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Niigon’s Spin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Not So Quiet | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Boy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sable Island | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wedgewood | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Turn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Success | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alicia’s Kid | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victor’s Dynasty | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Celebratory | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dani’s Victory | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Slew | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Drink in My Hand | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Executive Sight | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Wally | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Occasional View | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court Battle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Skynyrd | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kitten’s Solution | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fritzie’s Boy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | San Nicola Thunder | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Vision | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Letthebighossroll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Station Rock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Circle of Friends | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Stonehenge | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Queen | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormfuhr | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Secret | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salieri | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reconfigure | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alacritous | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Speighty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Deep Freeze | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miriam’s Sky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silent Jet | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Flattery | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hit the Ticket | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Street Legal | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Epilogue | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Highway | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Colton’s Corner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Red Bo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Black Sea (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R U Watchingbud | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.