October 4, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jamming Eddy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vantastic | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ginobili | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goalie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Duplicity | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Call You Tomorrow | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Chavo Del Ocho | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Torosay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foxborough | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Palace | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freerunning | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swtswngngbillynav | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deputy Gary | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Finger | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse Saint | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Moon | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Her Temp | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Ice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Rithms | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Memorable | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Lady | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ebeko (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caisson | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Fish | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarantino | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dennis Celery | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ingest | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ekklesia | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strongconstitution | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams of Valor | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mount Pelliar | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petruchio | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heliochrome | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan Estate | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Today Matters | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allaboutthemoney | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P Aim High | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flactem Legacy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoffa | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noren | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pride | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keystone Field | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Defense Wins | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holden the Lute | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | August Indy | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mickelson | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Consternation (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madone | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxim Strider | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pizzazz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Remarks | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canoodling | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reign of Fire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Discretionary Day | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ascot Storm | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moving Fast | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Jackson | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Found My Ball | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crossword | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alpine Thunder | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Finding Silver | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Me Likey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | General Mathis | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bud Knight | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alvaaro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Rage | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Sprout | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Palace Prince | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show Business | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antithetical | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tromador | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoop Dream | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Go Time | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Severin | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.