October 4, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wasp | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Impazible Donna | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calidad | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Munnings Muse | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Domenica | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Misty Taste | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Karen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Z’finale | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bielefeld | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ringgood | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Generalonamission | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whichwaytomalibu | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nightspot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Mischief | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kingfish | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Open Lengths | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Fidget | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Yousaidhello | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supply Sider | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whats in It for Me | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Off Topic | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overjoyed | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Princess | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxtail | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Union | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jennemily | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Catch a Cab | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gio d’Oro | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Siding Spring | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Another | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noble Thought | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flowers for Lisa | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Coltandmississippi | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vincero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Honorable Hero | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Advance Notice | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Sneakiness | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Grit and Glory | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Pal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tikhvin Flew | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kumar | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Speed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Jack | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fried Rice King | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Data Analytics | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kilkea | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lem Me Have It | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Princess Pinky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Chocolate Cookie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Desbordes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Astoria Kitten | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crescent Lady | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fresco | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Jen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Monificent | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silky Blue | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cold Hearted Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Beauty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cheatham Hill | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Abby Normal | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Miss Grillo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Freedomofthepress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Risk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lovestruck | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Editor At Large (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Batyah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Caldee | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Plum Ali | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Director’s Cut | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mashnee Girl | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beldame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dunbar Road | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Horologist | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nonna Madeline | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Point of Honor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letruska | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chateau | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Battle Station | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Stone | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chewing Gum | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Backtohisroots | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fog of War | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Archidust | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wet Your Whistle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pulsate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Wonder | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scotty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dustgetsinyoureyes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tanners Neck Lane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Phantom Smoke | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dee Bo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Noble Journey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Iwo Jima | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speedy Banker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ruse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Be Yourself | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Danzigwiththestars | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Data Deal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Cotton | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Boss Bear | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sandor Clegane | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Declare Justice | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.