October 3, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lavender (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zucchera | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucia’s Design | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Secretary | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Lass | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Africa | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodtingscominpink | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Silk | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Klaus | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carrie’s Success | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take a Leap | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sturdy One | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Creed | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meal Ticket | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cordiality | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muchly (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sedamar | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donut Girl | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Cat | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart River | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rain Diva | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saints Paynter | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Love | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Barrel | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truth Seeker | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Octopus | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka Twist | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camby | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Table for Ten | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Podres | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rustic Canyon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea of Liberty | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Tommy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Claim of Passion | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal War Chant | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Summer | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Pastrami | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nasreddine | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Namesake | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laurel River | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drivehappy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Refi Now | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mac Daddy Too | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Snappy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santos to Wilson | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Forza | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Samurai | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restrainedvengence | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blitzkrieg | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Eagle | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob and Jackie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Next Revolt | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linfield | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Debt Monger | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Journey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam Again | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speakerofthehouse | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gryffindor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dopo Lavoro | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Peaky Blinder | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avisse | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Lady | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetest Angel | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kate Boss | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chicks Dig Munny | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judy With Grace | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I’m All the Jedi | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nurturing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pizzazz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lemon Ice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Derby Quest | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.