Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020

October 3, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Suspect a Storm 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 At It Early 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Kiss Him Goodbye 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Rooster Bay 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Il Est Vite 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dance Even 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Run Away Bett 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Haus 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Alex of Ice 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Harlequin 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dubnation 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Poverty Flats 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blank It 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Light Bound Bid 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Super Syd 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Chuckmate 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 You Funny Man 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Risky Forest 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Substitution 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Matchlock 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Superserg 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Awesome Max 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 York Road 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Itsallaboutyou 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fabulous Girl 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Nocturnal Mission 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Adari 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Icy Dawn 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mulberry 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dusty Princess 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Girls in Charge 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Cadi Deville 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 My Golden Day 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Storm Fury 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Palette 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Blushing Scarlett 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Stunning One 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Madam Griselda 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dark Silence 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Holdthatlove 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sparkle O Mine 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Fast Machine 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Shimmering Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Stonecold Stunner 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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