Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020

October 3, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heidi’s Wish 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Heather Hills 1.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Splendor Gal 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Patty Mac’s Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Jazzy Juder 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Tika 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Susi Sole 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Spitfire Annie 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Victory Time 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Square Peg 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Forty Charm Lady 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Alexa G 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Jennyanyspot 6.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Queen of Muskoka 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Luna 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ana Lass 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hashtag Selfie 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Trappe Me Later 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Don’t Fight 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 My Candy Forest 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Grecian Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brutus 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Genghis 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bayou Jam 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Appraised 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lectric Choke 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Tappahannock 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Maynooth 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Top Hat Treason 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Majestic Jazz 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Nomo d’Oro 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cause for Applause 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Commander’s Intent 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Tapitontheside 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 9 Weather Wiz 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Coach Adams 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Exchequer 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 7 Red Again 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Clever Triad 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Zaya 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 8 Gaultier (FR) 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Mead Avenue 20.00 6 11-1
8 6 Rock Solid Golfer 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Yowza Yowza Yowza 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Old Dominion 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chocolate Ride 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sugar Streak 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Baci 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Breviary 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Dance and Dance 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dilly Does It 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Always a Queen 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mary Alice 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bambino 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bad Sueno 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Big Bad Bud 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Smart Warrior 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 The Exception 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Biletnikoff 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mr. Hand Full 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 High Threshold 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Lethal Levy 20.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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