Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 2, 2020

October 2, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chasing Vinny 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Sweet Sydney 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Danielle’s Song 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Boldpasser 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Say It Again Artie 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mr Will 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Den of Thieves 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Savvy’s Sister 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Five Days in May 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Eight Speed 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Mustn’t Grumble 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Glorious Gizmo 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 My Final Trick 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Nana Sav 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Shades 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Capable 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Lea Ro 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Twomanyshots 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Frost Dance 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Vinyasa 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Light It Up 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 She’s a True Fox 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flashymeister 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Flash of Silver 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lauderdale 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 San Nicola Brew 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Truly Elite 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Itstartswithadrink 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 D’s Ben 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Seemee 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Winsroy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Muskoka Storm 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Stormy Egbert 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Jersey Diamond 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Bachelor Pad 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Polydeuces 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Embrace My Uncle 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Frac Attack 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Agnelli 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Act of Bob 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 U S Army Corps 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 He’s a Gizmo 4.00 3 6-1
8 7 Shangassah 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Jegos Fire 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Matinee 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Keep Your Word 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Zephan 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Self Inflicted 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Giant Critic 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cryptic Grip 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tallestofthetall 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Calling Bear 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Wild About Blue 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Artiesattheparty 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Society Misfit 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Byebye Byebye 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Souper Deputy 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Offsuit 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Society’s Menace 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Secret Roi 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Decision Made 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Under City Lights 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bartman 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Manny 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mazinaw Legend 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Big Matteo 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Give Me an Eye 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Capture the Ride 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Landry 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Togquos 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Muskoka Dancer 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 1 Muskoka Lady 4.00 2.8 5-1
13 11 Hasn’t Hit Me Yet 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 9 Cheekylicious 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 You Cant Catch Her 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 4 Twick 10.00 5.7 11-1
12 10 Justcall Me Candy 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 6 Cheetahra 20.00 9 17-1
7 5 Orbortunistic 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Sick Society 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Onezy’s Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
5 3 I’m a Ginger 20.00 10.2 19-1
10 8 Oxesome 20.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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