Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 2, 2020

October 2, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 N. K. Rocket Man 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Count Alexei 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Square Root 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Perfectionistic 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Master Ryan 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 One Fast Bro 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 R Matineigh Idol 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Dynamic Duo 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Circle West 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lionite 2.50 2 4-1
8 7 Posterize 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Littlebitamedal 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Captain Scotty 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 I Belong to Becky 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Quality Line 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Oil Can Knight 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Horse Greedy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Parnelli 0.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mega Mischief 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Bolu 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hot Rod Charlie 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Scary Larry 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Squared Shady 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Dylans Wild Cat 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Allie’s Pal 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Luxury Liner 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Blackjack Betty 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Complete Control 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dorita’s Heart 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Careless Star 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Supernova Wildcat 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Pink Phlox 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Westward Breeze 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Best Lady 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Colombian Gold 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 White Velvet 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Lady Noguez 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 A G Indy 2.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 A Thousand Dreams 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Sabinos Pride 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Nocherylikemychery 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Savvy Gal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arickaree 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Secret Club 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Zero Down 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hollywood’s Best 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lil Richards Bello 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Gone Awol 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Majestic Gigi 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Magical Gray 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Seaside Dancer 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Devils Dance 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Queen of the Track 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Miss Flawless (FR) 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Tijori 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Velvet Queen 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Classy Ruler 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Don’t Blame Judy 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Stellar Sound 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Storie Blue 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 Last First Kiss 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Beguiled 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shadow Sphinx 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Swamp Souffle 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 9 French Getaway 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Honos Man 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mithqaal 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Of Good Report 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 8 Southern King 3.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Move Over (GB) 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Synthesis 12.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Truth Seeker 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 East Rand 10.00 SCRATCH
9 7 M Town Gem 15.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fabozzi 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Jan’s Reserve 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Around the Dial 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Papa Turf 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lucky Romano 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Awhitesportscoat 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Black Storm 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 More Honor 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Seven Oxen 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Write Me a Song 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Royal Seeker 50.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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