October 2, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | N. K. Rocket Man | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Alexei | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Root | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfectionistic | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master Ryan | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Fast Bro | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Matineigh Idol | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Circle West | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lionite | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Posterize | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitamedal | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Captain Scotty | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Belong to Becky | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Line | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oil Can Knight | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horse Greedy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Parnelli | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mega Mischief | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolu | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Charlie | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scary Larry | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Squared Shady | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dylans Wild Cat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allie’s Pal | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luxury Liner | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Betty | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Complete Control | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorita’s Heart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Careless Star | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supernova Wildcat | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Phlox | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Westward Breeze | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Best Lady | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colombian Gold | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Velvet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Noguez | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A G Indy | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Thousand Dreams | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sabinos Pride | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nocherylikemychery | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Savvy Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arickaree | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Club | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Down | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood’s Best | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Richards Bello | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Awol | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Gigi | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Gray | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Dancer | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Dance | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tijori | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Queen | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Ruler | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Judy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Sound | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storie Blue | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last First Kiss | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beguiled | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Sphinx | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swamp Souffle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | French Getaway | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Honos Man | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mithqaal | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Of Good Report | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Southern King | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truth Seeker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | East Rand | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | M Town Gem | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fabozzi | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jan’s Reserve | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Around the Dial | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Papa Turf | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Romano | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awhitesportscoat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Storm | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | More Honor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Oxen | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Write Me a Song | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.