October 2, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 7 | Nevisian Sunset | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Punk Rock Princess | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shake D Moon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bird Tycoon | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Broad Storm | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alin Azul | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Simmard Shenanigan | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Win Then Grin | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Instinctive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gennie Highway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pebble Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Flirtation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | So Who’s Back | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Twirling Liz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Final Prospect | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Factor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belfour | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayne’s Fever | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby G | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irishtown | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Dirtyfoot | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Ro | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Won the Case | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odds On | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Captain Mad Jack | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Prospect | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artistic Drifter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ray’swarrior | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Aife | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Wicked Awesome | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monkey Mind | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Irony of Reality | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heaven Escape | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jabuticaba | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Artful Splatter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blue Atlas | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lagom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fed Up Fired Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mucha Mezquina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m Not Joking | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firth | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Good Times | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annika Gold | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Bella Rossa | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colloquium | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m Evil | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unmoored | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coop Tries Harder | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Charge to Victory | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singanothersong | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Degas | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New York’s Finest | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Axtell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fair Catch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Railmaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tattooed | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Mark | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amen Corner | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballivor | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome D J | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Foggy Dreams | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Delicious Pursuit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Too Much Tip | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Why Now | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Golden Can | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Skiff | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Splasherstown | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Piu Bella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dance Or Stroll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Limited View | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unaquoi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hold Me Black | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Thundershook | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stroll Smokin | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Seany P | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pat Daddy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zoomer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nova Boy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shane’s Jewel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Abiding Star | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Patriot Drive | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Nileator | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Singapore Trader | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dundalk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Temple | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hieroglyphics | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Glad Rock (GER) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Posterity | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chargin Storm | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Owendale | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Someday Jones | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tenfold | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Harpers First Ride | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cordmaker | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Clubman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Forewarned | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monongahela | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Plus Que Parfait | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.