October 2, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Judicial Restraint | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blood Moon | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Wicked Charm | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revenio | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of American | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Amanjena | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madera | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanny Go Nanny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ain’t None Lucky | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Commissioner | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canarsie Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queentigua | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Empress Luciana | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sander’s Empire | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wishes and Dreams | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Risky Mischief | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Speightstown Gal | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | The Important One | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saratoga Love | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Beaux Arts | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archumybaby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Letmetakethiscall | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Puffery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Officer Hutchy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starfront | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Move | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back Channel | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undine | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halo City | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m Looking | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Sargeant Drive | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Knows | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ventus | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Invest | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Indigo Yankee | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealin’ Stelen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | American Rule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Doswell | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Junkanoo | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gauguin (GER) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scanno | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Willing to Speed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Vintage Kitten | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glynn County | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Advance Notice | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Point Him Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Heirloom Kitten | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Full of Fire | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Barrel | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Luna | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lutescoot N Boogie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustinmygroove | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Delicious | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Azogar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tequilamemories | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Basquiat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Mias | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plot the Dots | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Dangerous | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life On Top | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Turn of Events | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Dante’s Fire | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forza Di Oro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bird King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Assiduously (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Will Sing for Wine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 7 | Last Opportunity (IRE) | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Half Right | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Nations | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Strong | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin for Trouble | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Orb | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold the Salsa | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New York One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Frat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | False Alarm | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Shandian | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Money in the Bank | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freudian Analyst | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brickyard | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Broadway Joe | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fidget | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fast Gordon | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Top of the Mint | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.