Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 1, 2020

October 1, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pesaro 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Blonde Courage 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Merino Wool 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Six Pack Girl 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Tackle the North 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Don’t Smile Lilah 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Aloha Wilko 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Hurricane Director 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Shishka 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lost Corsage 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Smirk N Swagger 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Trail Blazing Essa 3.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Could Be Fate 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Redhair N Freckles 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Vesperanza 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Play It Smart 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Drumgreenaghbridge 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Audition 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Mahone Bay 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rose Ring 1.40 2.4 4-1
5 5 Sadie Irene 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Misguided Passion 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Black Sage 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Freshieintheforest 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Warning Belle 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Court Time 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Ready’s Princess 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Diamond Love 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Finest Jewel 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Audrey Grace 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tiz My Right 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Our Eyes Touched 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dee Dee’s Angel 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Mamita’s Chica 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Twentytwentycrest 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Toy Show 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 I Look Incredible 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Martini Sue 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Con Thien 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Coconut Grove 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Barkin 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Saratoga Vision 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Shes the North 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Sport’n Forty 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Jlohr Jan 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Glamourous Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Now We Are Nine 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 El Chairman 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 In a Twist 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Zoological 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Victor’s Destiny 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Victor’s Way 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gottoknowrightnow 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Macho T 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Duke of Miami 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sweet Yare N Dira 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Foxxy Belle 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mizzona 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Summerland 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Big Mistake 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Real Coal 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Subzero Plus 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Boogie With Me 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ladies Signature 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yzerman 2.00 2 4-1
8 7 Captain Vinnie 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Zoomer Music 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Google It 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 A Gershwin Tune 12.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Charles Street 10.00 5 9-1
11 10 Lucky Street 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Spanish Major 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Torpedo Max 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Hope Vision 30.00 8.7 16-1
12 11 Chilling Secret 30.00 8.9 17-1
9 8 Sativa 30.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Northern Solution 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.