October 1, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barbsgray Lion | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Susikin | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greasedlightning | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Rozina | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marie From Parie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Si Mamacita | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Plamen | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romp | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Excursion | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Market Cap | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Let Us Make Gold | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy’s Doc | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy P | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Elusive | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Take Profit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twixy Cat | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robber Bob | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girls Love Me | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Given | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Times | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cooke Brothers | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Saviour | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outside the Box | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Irishtown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Hell of Afire | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Beyond Forever | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Star | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cosita Rica | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reiltin Oir | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Charades | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kailee (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dancingwithpaynter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tex Mee a Kiss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jumpstartmyheart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nymue’s Treasure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gifted Heart | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Deep Red | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Always Something | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Fromheaven | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Le Weekend | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Tiger Blood | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Texas Wedge | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Francatelli | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Completed Pass | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love You Much | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hollis | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tempt Me Twice | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Axtell | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fair Catch | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Feelgood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Camp Pendleton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Natty Beau | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nobody Knew | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cantwaittobeking | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manklin Creek | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doublbarrelbourbon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strictly Business | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepe and Heywood | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chico Con Alex | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Jo Jo Air | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Peaceful | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ode to Joy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Great Time | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild About Star | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hear My Prayer | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Foolish Humor | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Captain Sam | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Not in Jeopardy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giggling | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Enough Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tracy Ann’s Legacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chalon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Philipine Cobra (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dendrobia | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Yaupon | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreams Untold | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arkaan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double Crown | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Bombastic | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lebda | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relentless Dancer | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Menace | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pitching Ari | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blackberry Wine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Pool Shark | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Patriot Game | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Good Luck Legacy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maybe Someday | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | American Piper | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yes Sir Colonel | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aliferous | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carson and I | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Paddy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reliability | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Degas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.