Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 1, 2020

October 1, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Monkey’s Medal 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 Little Leo 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sebray 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Linda’s Nekia 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Day 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sir Douglas 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Me Darlin Chessie 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 David’s Prospec 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Call Fitzroy 1.60 3.3 6-1
7 6 Just Enough 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Favor Maker 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 North Yorkshire 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Strategic Legacy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 7 Muhlenberg 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 5 Holy Saint 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Golazo 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 6 Junior Bug 12.00 5 9-1
4 2 Confusion Baby Boy 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 3 Vern H 20.00 7 13-1
7 4 Handsome Boy 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Declared 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Striking It Lucky 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bold Trek 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Riggins 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Torres Del Paine 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Bear Treasure 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 That Quality 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Warm 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Joyful Noise 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Northern Heart 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Group Text 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Savannah Roxanna 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Enduros Tigress 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Majestic Pic 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 More Thunder 1.60 1.3 2-1
2 2 Otis Otis Otis 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Leading Man 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Let Me Call Joe 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gone Paradise 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Confusion 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Small Invasion 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 7 Magic Wizard 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Drink More Bourbon 4.00 3.2 6-1
11 6 I Am It 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Proper Humor 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Captain Harley 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 5 Eloquence 30.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Virginialovers 30.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Empty Holster 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pratt 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Friend Casper 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 More Than Miles 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Drill Bit 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Imaginethejoy 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Not Necessarily 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nikki Bella 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 5 Barley Jack 2.00 2 4-1
5 4 Holy Mosey 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ciao Luna 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Butterfly Rose 15.00 4 8-1
7 6 Desert Image 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Itsagimme’s Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 U S Constitution 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Righteous Renegade 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Jack Gave Back 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Alpha Queue 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Omati 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Shoulda Had It 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Charlie Potatoes 10.00 3.9 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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