October 1, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Royale | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Made My Day (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Forward Curve | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vicarage | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accessible | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inappropriate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Envy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Onthewingsoflou | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Ned | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mohjestic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cover Photo | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blunt Force | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forgotten Hero | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tied Up | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Kahen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge Alexander | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Africa | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tackle | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ernie Banker | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pier Forty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neuro | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Palace | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The J Y | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Graded On a Curve | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rapt | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Klickitat | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Nutzforboltz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pipes | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Last Buck | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Hit It Once More | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I Love Jaxson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vintage Hollywood | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shamrocked | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brush Country | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Releasethethunder | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vineyard Sound | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10B | 9 | Bayern’s Mirage | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12B | 11 | Colloquist | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No Nay Now (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Market Impact | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grandmas Favorite | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Complex System | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Matty’s Marauder | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ballydooley (GB) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warfront Fighter | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kith | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Breithorn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Joint and Several | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Hill | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bourbon Currency | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ahead of Plan | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Propensity | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cobble Hill | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitzrayim | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dubai Bobby | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Operative | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coolboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Macho Jack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tikhvin Flew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Sneakiness | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Saratoga Pal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Rejected Again | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Coach Villa | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Knockout Punch | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Stimulus Check | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Mo’ Spending | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Constitution | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infringement | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mashnee Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Moonshine Maker | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slugo | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperio D | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Cloud | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never Hold Back | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liquor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Permanentresident | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stash My Money | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Irish | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Victory Built | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talespin | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apex Predator | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gratto Swing | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Heart | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.