Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 30, 2020

September 30, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dogwood Queen 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gypsy Girl 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Drive In 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 Revolving Love 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 That Is Key 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Damisela 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Driver’s License 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cougar Vision 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fine N Dandy 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 6 Stylemeister 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Martini Lane 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Thin Spaces 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Berry Hill 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Monyinthebanksey 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Wild Go 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Bolter 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Valley Cal 6.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Fuego 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 3 Gallinipper 10.00 SCRATCH
13 4 Thunder Day 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 2 Doodle Time 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Officer Matute 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Seville Row 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Palace Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sage Canyon 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Curlington 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Busster Von Trappe 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blameless 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 J Beresford Tipton 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Perfect Daydream 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hurricane Party 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 English Tavern 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Kingston Pike 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Sir Rockport 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Phish Fan 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Why Joey Why 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Keeping the Peace 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Americano 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 For the Road 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malibu Mischief 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Dreaming Diamonds 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 She Answered 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Gray Haze 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Bettyann 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Our Lady of Loreto 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pretty Edgy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Hearts 1.40 2.7 5-1
5 3 Heatherly 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 4 Fran’s Salsa 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 6 Kaylie’s Girl 12.00 6 11-1
10 5 R True Sensation 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Ballerina Kitten 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Missimard 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Princess Killmain 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Butterfly Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Checotah 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Eifs 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Take Your Place 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 7 Belle Tapisserie 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 He’s Smokin Now 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Tip for Tap 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Perfect Cover 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tommy Shelby 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 W W Springtime 10.00 4.1 8-1
6A 6 Thundershook 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Indian Lake 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Alwaysinahurry 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 The King Cheek 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Jaquavious 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Gaming Jack 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Clever and Great 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Big Daddy Buzz 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Frankie Z 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Scotty Silver 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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