Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 28, 2020

September 28, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Bagpipes 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Holiday Man 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 One Stop Shop 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Onomatopoeia 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Candy My Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Promising Shoes 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Kit Check 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Light Bound Bid 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runfastandloud 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Red Noon Rising 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Flat Out Ten 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Voodayo 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Stunning One 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Blushing Scarlett 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Blondies Mine 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Philosopher 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Kellen Cash 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Northern Highline 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Brilliant Baby 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Tequila 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Step Sidekick 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Ruthless Rhett 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Student Dancer 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Wilburns History 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Schuyler Warrior 2.00 2 4-1
8 6 Triple Malt 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 2 She’s So Bossy 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 I’m Nasty Too 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Atoka Girl 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Cheverie 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Put Sarah On 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Ize Discreet Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dusty Princess 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Country Boy Charm 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Jimmy’s Marco 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Chitto 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Oopsy Daisy 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ferric 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Duritz 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Flat Rock 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Brassy Fire 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Lovethatcause 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Burgameister 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 I’m River 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Daahers Bully 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Beto 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Knocks Big Thirst 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Overanalyzer 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Go for Jim 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Three Footer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Ship Boss 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Ethan’s Fury 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Lovin’ the Rush 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Titan’s Revenge 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Woke Up Wild 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Callme Mr Mister 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Wonderful Dancer 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 C J Omega 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Larch 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Torington 30.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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