September 28, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Drosselmagic | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tomater Gator | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Inky Dinky Do | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Brio Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fifty | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Adulation | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Wisdom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Words | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inspired Options | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jayjaydee | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epigrammatist | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hibachi | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impossebull | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J Wass | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Refi | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Perez | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lt. Columbo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Knock Out Kid | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Nana | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | True Upgrade | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Enigmatica | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Star Lo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Top Hat Tizzy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Dancingthehnydaway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | City Guy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Brilliant Worth | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Managing Risk | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | My Man Elvis | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shoreline | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Elregal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nonno Pietro | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Johnny Wishbone | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proudmiamicitizen | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Tree | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Deerstalker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Milton the Monster | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tony From Ocala | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fray | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chasing Dreams | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | E T’s Night Ranger | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lynard | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Know It Now | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Victoria E | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | La Flamenca | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Atlantic Avenue | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reigning Fire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bayleaf | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Morissette | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Baaqeya | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoning | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Iron Lilly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deep Canyon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Compound It | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Dreamer | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tybalt | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whistling Birds | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jump for Alex | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hockey Puck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Fire | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semi Excited | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes It’s Roo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moti | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broad Street Bully | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Isabella Smile | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Blame | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pecan Pattie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mini Scoop | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dazzle Me | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Giumarello | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Global Ambition | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lorden’s Love | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mija Bella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Arima | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dreamy Martini | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rings of Jupiter | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Secret | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | County Corrections | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samadi Sky | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ogeechee | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Tales | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blinding | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incensed | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Final Ritual | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jacks a Warrior | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Off Duty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.