September 28, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Special Intention | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Stolen Love | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tisdale | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Da Winner Is | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lord Simba | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iwishiwaspecial | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Poppy’s Two Step | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | These Blues | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Howboutdempats | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Felix Leiter | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Betts | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Won the Byng | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bowled Over | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mo American | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bourbon Agogo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Tapit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Mark | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fortyeightstraight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ratify | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Begonia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smart Entry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lasting Image | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Survey (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Gone | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Run | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pataz | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In the Loop | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Khozan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Rider | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Federale | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hambone | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nomo d’Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Allende | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for the Gold | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Nonsense | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Wildcat | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spring the Trappe | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand in My Shoes | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality too Spare | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | P J’s Ego | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5 | Stiva | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | I Love You | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Charge It | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Dude’s Secret | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Owesaycanyousee | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jumpstartmyheart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pride Leader | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dancingwithpaynter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | New Found Treasure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nevisian Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sundrenched | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kupuri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Nana’s Shoes | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Misdriven | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Breanna | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stakes On a Plane | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hola Princess | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | There Goes My Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexbabe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fiduciary Values | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | Platinum Paynter | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Take Charge Tina | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Justin Time | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shifra Magician | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Madame X. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Noble Intentions | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Morgan’s Z Va | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bella Pierina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Codrington | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Confessor | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretty Good Year | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cerulean Springs | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Militiaman | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Super John | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Youngest of Five | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Almithmaar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Forevamo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ballivor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Skyscanner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bird King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.