September 27, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Dreamer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Screen Diva | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joy’s Solution | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Mistress | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Habitat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Red | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willed | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Typically | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aramon | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Many Mountans | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Gauge | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Have Fun | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Bourbon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purple Scooter | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anita Grigio | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cefalo | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pressure Front | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katz You Later | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laurendale | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ring in Silence | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erica’s On Board | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lefootwostomps | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enhanced Finance | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sexy Nexy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Causeway | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nestleton Hush | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comic Kitten | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mambointheforest | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Am Prepared | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lenny K | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helium | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Great | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excellorator | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amanofmystature | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Momentus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maritime Mission | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polterer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Thieves | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forester’s Fortune | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Ride | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ennis the Menace | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sycamore Run | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jacobs Call | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | See Forever | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Crawl From the Bar | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lead Director | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Love to Singh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Red Hierarchy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Victorian Queen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mum’s the Word | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hatmaker Holiday | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunsprite | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Guroo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Il Malocchio | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent But Violent | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flawless Pink | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howmuchistoomuch | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Money | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Strike | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskiminzin | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose’s Vision | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Poet | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Jimmie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thor’s Rocket | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bull Page S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Avoman | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dragon’s Brew | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | De Only Solution | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Canadian | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Took a Wrong Turn | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unlimited Talent | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exceed | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Revved Up | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Maker | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Tapit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gigantic Breeze | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faraway Kitten | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viewfinder | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeskip | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Quantum Velocity | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Giant Waters | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Galvaston | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Knight Kingdom | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breathlessnthesand | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lyrical Gangster | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maakwa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Social Justice | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hiatus | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Gizmo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Drone Swarm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.