Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 27, 2020

September 27, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Delightful Dreamer 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Screen Diva 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Joy’s Solution 2.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Classy Mistress 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Natural Habitat 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Striking Red 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Willed 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Typically 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aramon 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Too Many Mountans 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Storm Gauge 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Let’s Have Fun 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Blazing Bourbon 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Purple Scooter 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Anita Grigio 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Cefalo 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pressure Front 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Katz You Later 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Laurendale 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Ring in Silence 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Erica’s On Board 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lefootwostomps 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Enhanced Finance 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sexy Nexy 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Causeway 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Nestleton Hush 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Comic Kitten 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mambointheforest 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Kitten’s Boy 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Uno Champ 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Am Prepared 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lenny K 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Helium 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 American Great 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Excellorator 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 8 Amanofmystature 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Maximus Momentus 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Maritime Mission 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Polterer 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prince of Thieves 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Forester’s Fortune 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Money Ride 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ennis the Menace 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sycamore Run 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Jacobs Call 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Bokermin 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 See Forever 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 10 Crawl From the Bar 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Kaili’s Big Boy 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Lead Director 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Love to Singh 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bay of Rum 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Red Hierarchy 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Victorian Queen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mum’s the Word 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hatmaker Holiday 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sunsprite 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Silent Guroo 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Il Malocchio 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Silent But Violent 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Flawless Pink 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Howmuchistoomuch 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Real Money 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Lookin to Strike 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Eskiminzin 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Rose’s Vision 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Silent Poet 1.20 2.9 6-1
7 7 Silent Jimmie 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Thor’s Rocket 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bull Page S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Avoman 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Dragon’s Brew 1.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 De Only Solution 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 All Canadian 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Took a Wrong Turn 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Unlimited Talent 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Exceed 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Passthepuddinpleaz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Revved Up 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Dream Maker 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Magic Tapit 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Gigantic Breeze 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Faraway Kitten 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Viewfinder 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Timeskip 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Quantum Velocity 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 7 Giant Waters 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Galvaston 2.50 3.6 7-1
11 10 Knight Kingdom 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Breathlessnthesand 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Lyrical Gangster 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lil Bit Gangsta 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Maakwa 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Social Justice 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Hiatus 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Grand Gizmo 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Drone Swarm 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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