September 27, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gregdar | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capo Mafioso | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Count | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whispering Flame | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Gonna Last | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling the Gold | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With Due Cause | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Verry Bossy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Cool | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flash Magic | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Park Avenue | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dani Mo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heels Up | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m the Boss of Me | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Camino de Estrella | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Huerfano | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Cobra | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wilshire Dude | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Equity | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paynter’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Mad | 0.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harvest Moon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Emma | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Not to Love | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hang a Star | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lane Way | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cali Caliente | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiberius Mercurius | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly to Mars | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Ay Em | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suances Secret | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cem Sultan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciated | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil Made Me Doit | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brickyard Ride | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tobacco Road | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Courier | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Howbeit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfullofstars | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Superstition | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Acting Out | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Tub | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Palm | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Her Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocking Redhead | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicks and Chappies | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherry City | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Collusion Illusion | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Z Rocket | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flagstaff | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Law | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Expectations | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Althea Gibson | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sofi’s Gold | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wishful | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Concise Advice | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | None of Your Biz | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Often | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Queensbeccaandjane | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dairy Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hotitude | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Melis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brenda’s an I Full | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Rafaela | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Combatant | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Claws | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Azul Coast | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizamagician | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potantico | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muralist | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Endeavor | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wind and Hope | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Via Angelica | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Viazar | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Constantia | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acoustic Shadow | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Addie Pray | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearing Act | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bristol Bayou | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Goodbody | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | This Tea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Ella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.