Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 27, 2020

September 27, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 9 Scamper Along 4.50 3.3 6-1
12 8 Madame Moon 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 6 Miranda Sofia 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Terrible Tara 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Inedatequila 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 7 Foley Square 30.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Revveduplikeadeuce 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 V K Legacy 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Herculina 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lookn Fine as Wine 20.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Jeanie Vee 30.00 10.4 20-1
8 4 Emilia Strong 30.00 10.6 20-1
7 3 Wellingtons Rose 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Paynter Fest 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Grace’s Drama 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Brookes All Mine 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Flashing Diamond 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tropicality 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ledecky 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Nowitna River 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Babie Monster 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Uno Baby Bird 1.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Shortlister 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Appian Way 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Maquiavelo 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Trinni Dancer 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Silver Connection 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ricky Run 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Restless Rocker 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fast Fraction 0.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Vuyelwa 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Auburn 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Kaufy Futures 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Baby Alidett 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Slewys Chosen One 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Ourhandsomegal 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Prospective Diva 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 3 Fiber Optic 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Distinctly Blue 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Speed Star 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 7 Rosyjersey 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 6 Salsa Rita 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Dixie Princess 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 5 J’s Indian Charm 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Sweetly Maid 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 True Heiress 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bright Venezuelan 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Three Deep 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Gran Casique 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Street Legacy 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Trisomia 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Diamonds Enjoy 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Road to Peace 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Palimpsest 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Fort King 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 4 Hero Tiger 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 2 I’m Cardinal 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 6 Game Boy Benny 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 5 Dark Ages 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 7 Dad’s Yankees 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 1 Silver Defense 30.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Earth 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Marcelino 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Diamond Mint 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mar Vista Miguel 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tenacity Zip 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gran Malbec 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classy Beast 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Chez Paree 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Panarea 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lavi 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Witch Hunter 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Grey Jazmine 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Bibiana 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Marama 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Dynatown 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 2 Centsless Drama 4.00 4 8-1
11 6 Starship Mallomar 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 3 Aerodynamic 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 5 Mo of the West 3.00 5.1 10-1
8 4 Indicia 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 7 Rosa Star 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Bajan Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Etana 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Reagan’s Rose 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Moments to Saver 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Yes Factor 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Worth Avenue 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Sammie Sunshine 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Free to Fly 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Travy Boy 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Frosted Grace 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Royal Squeeze 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Yodel E. A. Who 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Field Trip 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Running for Riz 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Alien Invasion 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Bienville Street 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 3 Great Sister Diane 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 7 Vitaemi 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 4 Remarkable Soul 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 1 Lovely Luvy 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 6 Alizee 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 2 Makeme Dream 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Crown and Sugar 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sky Chaser 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Bella Ciao 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dance d’Oro 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 More Diamonds 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Gran Diamond 5.00 3.8 7-1
14 11 Dinner At Five 4.00 3.9 7-1
12 9 Royal Jewel 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 4 Dancingwithjimmieb 4.50 4.1 8-1
13 10 Two Cents Worth 3.50 4.4 8-1
11 8 Whycantthisbelove 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 R Sea Smoke 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Bella Bionda 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Mermaid Kisses 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Snow and Lillylynn 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lovielee 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Reiterate 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 Lemoncita 20.00 10 19-1
9 7 Katniss Kan 30.00 11.9 23-1
8 7 Randiabby 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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