September 27, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twice a Lady | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pure Bode | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gaelic Gold | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’m Fine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cainudothetwist | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Portofina | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tabula Rasa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Calidad | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mini P (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rakeez | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cowtown | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shore Magic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mystery Bank | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alley Oop Johnny | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kilronan | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Rome | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Discreet | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Fond | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zecha | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Autostrada | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightfoot Miss | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Pants | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Ready | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iaintfraidanoghost | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Berning Question | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laoban Furen | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Five Alarm Robin | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overheated | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Fawzia | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Come Storming | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten by the Sea | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Robin Sparkles | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Factoring | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedontbelieveher | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bennys Tribute | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lem Me Have It | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jen’s Battle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ceant | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L’Indiscret | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlem Heights | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sengekontacket | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Zip | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Boombastic | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barista Vixen | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Safari Queen | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look Me Over | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Anthem | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Simply Sweet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Highly Motivated | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Known Agenda | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hipsky | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Leverage | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cost Average | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Bound | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Reds | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Smitty Run | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sono Grato | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Uncle George | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Freewheeler | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Veterans Beach | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Three Outlaws | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Like It | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Wonder | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Constant Knight | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leap to Glory | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Wardenofthenorth | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Double Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Freudian Sip | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pop a Choc | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. S | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thankful | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Danvers | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Critical Value | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passive Investing | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solitary Gem | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | More Mango | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lido Key | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashing Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Positive Skew | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Big Al’s Gal | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Marquet Legacy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stormy Derby Day | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winifred J | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sterling Beauty | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Amber | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild North | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Beyond Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.