September 26, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Anna Dream | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faith Over Fear | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pearl Heist | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Scribbles | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stokes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Gold | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | D Magician | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookout Louie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia’s Extortionist | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mc Culley | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Giant Attraction | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Double the Heart | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Earthquakedirector | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victorian Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Down With Brown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | French Charm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Fashion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Painting | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomlin | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sav | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Peacock | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Kingdom (AUS) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Spell | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Virgil Caine | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Range of Motion | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Uncle Drew | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Newfie Express | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Time Gizmo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G Prince of Silver | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Celtic Chief | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuduro | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jordans Way | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Thinking | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kyslios’s Justice | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Sensational | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speightstown Shirl | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Ore | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Careless Heiress | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trilling Song | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horseshoe Falls | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia At Midnight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Cross | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Musically Inclined | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emmeline | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rubyinthestars | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dejas Too | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Savvy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conzip | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensational Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admonish | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leave It With Me | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mitzi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Lighting | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Valor | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Erasmo’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Dad Rocks | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silent But Violent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fabiolla (GB) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Funny | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Caterina | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bunchkins | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Did I Stutter | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excelling | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Illusion | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twister Alert | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lots to Like | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souper Escape | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strike At Dawn | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Art of Almost | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Sunday | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Wedding | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Auntie Katherine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Tango | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Painting | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roman d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Believe In Beauty (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fairywren | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Ballerina | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Short Summer Dress | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teacher’s Pet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ishiyaya | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Vision | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Coal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Appella | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vespolina | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling Sloan | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Say Hey (FR) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Bobbit | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ann of Cleves | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen’s Speed | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Eye | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Society | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Off My Tail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.