Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 26, 2020

September 26, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sea Anna Dream 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Faith Over Fear 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Pearl Heist 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pink Scribbles 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Stokes 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Bobbi’s Legacy 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 I’ll Take the Gold 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 D Magician 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lookout Louie 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mia’s Extortionist 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mc Culley 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 5 Giant Attraction 6.00 6.6 12-1
10 7 Double the Heart 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 6 Earthquakedirector 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Victorian Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Down With Brown 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 French Charm 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Fashion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Painting 1.20 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tomlin 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sav 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sister Peacock 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Victory Kingdom (AUS) 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Magic Spell 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Virgil Caine 3.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Range of Motion 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Our Uncle Drew 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 The Newfie Express 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Big Time Gizmo 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 G Prince of Silver 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Celtic Chief 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Kuduro 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Jordans Way 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Fast Thinking 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Kyslios’s Justice 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Sensational 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Speightstown Shirl 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Diamond Ore 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Careless Heiress 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Trilling Song 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Horseshoe Falls 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mia At Midnight 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Northern Cross 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Musically Inclined 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Emmeline 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rubyinthestars 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dejas Too 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Very Savvy 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Conzip 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sensational Girl 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Admonish 10.00 4 7-1
4 4 Leave It With Me 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Mitzi 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Holy Lighting 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 El Valor 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Erasmo’s Girl 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 My Dad Rocks 20.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Silent But Violent 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fabiolla (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Feeling Funny 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Cara Caterina 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bunchkins 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Did I Stutter 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Excelling 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Smarty Illusion 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Twister Alert 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Lots to Like 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Souper Escape 1.20 1.8 3-1
5 5 Strike At Dawn 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Art of Almost 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Summer Sunday 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Royal Wedding 15.00 5 9-1
7 6 Auntie Katherine 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Silent Tango 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Saratoga Vision 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Painting 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roman d’Oro 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 All Quality 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Believe In Beauty (IRE) 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Fairywren 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Spanish Ballerina 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Short Summer Dress 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Teacher’s Pet 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ishiyaya 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Golden Vision 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Real Coal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Appella 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Vespolina 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Rolling Sloan 3.50 3 6-1
10 9 Say Hey (FR) 10.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Miss Bobbit 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ann of Cleves 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Queen’s Speed 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Under the Eye 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Cool Society 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Get Off My Tail 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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