Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 26, 2020

September 26, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Unzip Me S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aqua Seaform Shame 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Blue Sky Baby 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mind Out 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Powerfulattraction 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bulletproof One 2.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Parkour 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Biddy Duke 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Moonhall Milly (IRE) 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Merneith 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Kristi’s Tiger 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 2 Sheza Girly Girl 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 1 Loud Loud Music 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 3 Cheap Cheap Cheap 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Grinningeartoear 5.00 5 9-1
7 5 Hot On the Trail 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Acai 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Liberalism 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Illumination 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Miss Costa Rica 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Princess Noor 0.40 3.9 7-1
2 2 Make Mischief 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Varda 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Question Authority 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Kazansky 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Most Sandisfactory 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hapi Hapi 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Babael 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Street Behavior 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Squalotoro 6.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Ammolite 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Meadway 20.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Summer Fun 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Vegas Moon 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mr Show Off 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fort Dodge 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wyfire 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Commander Khai 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Fury Kap 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE) 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 No Pedigree 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Great One 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Feathers (IRE) 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Basque Man 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Windy City Red 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kershaw 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Express Train 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Shortlist 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Overdue 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Extra Hope 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Blameitonthelaw 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Dr. Troutman 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Loud Mouth 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Lady Prancealot (IRE) 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Maxim Rate 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Mucho Unusual 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Pretty Point 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tonahutu (IRE) 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Catch the Eye 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Bodhicitta (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Pharoah S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spielberg 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Get Her Number 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Waspirant 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Rombauer 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Touchdown Brown 5.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Notable Exception 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dyn O Mite 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Weston 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John Henry Turf Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salvator Mundi 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Next Shares 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 United 1.20 2.7 5-1
1 1 Proud Pedro (FR) 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Originaire (IRE) 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Another Mystery 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Kazan (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Improbable 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Maximum Security 0.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sleepy Eyes Todd 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Midcourt 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Take the One O One 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Theluteismine 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Ingest 1.80 4 8-1
3 3 Stars of Bluegrass 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 J C Express 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Warrens Candy Man 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Detective Bernardo 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Teton Valley 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Investment Account 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Blue Star 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Alexander’s Dream 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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