September 26, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oh So Terrible | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O’Keeffe | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Owl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Puntsville | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Patsy J | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miz Blue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Superstar Diva | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Hey | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sloaner | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Binding Time | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Present of Hero | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunter’s Hellcat | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Action Attack | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Annie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wary Carrie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharperthanme | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Got Me Going | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Want to Go | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rend Lake Baby | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lilys From Paris | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aimara | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Executive Time | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vice Grip | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Magnitude Ten | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seven Seventeen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uneeky | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Locash | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goodnight Irene | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Columbia Clipper | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sequins Storm | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Mask | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dayjur Best | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Minister’s Glory | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Drama Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dreaming of Frank | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Richie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dom the Bomb | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockyourblockoff | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | R H Smoakem | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greeleys Ice | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boston Charley | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tio Chuy | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peteizum | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Boundaries | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road Game | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heisfancy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Maligator | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost in Manhattan | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talking Zip | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Z U Soon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Warriors Gem | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best You Ever Seen | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tetsu | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Elusive Force | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dark Wood (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | No Cents Left | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Can’t Hide From Me | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Storminside | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Beast Mode | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Offlee Fun | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chlobee | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forgot to Forget | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Pair | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Go for Sherrie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seba’s Dancer | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Chick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Roll Call | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chernyahovskiy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Roski | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bushrod | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splash for Gold | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yankton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Para Vivir | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | W W Kan Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Moonlight Mischief | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Boom Box | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Mutakddim Road | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Club Soda | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kyzan | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Dann Good | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yaba Daba Doo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Bye Greg | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Romeo O Romeo | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Can’t Say No | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unscathed | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iwillpersevere | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rio Seco | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Maximus | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Thomas | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Demand Ransom | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suprise Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Attacking | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Christmas Cookie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creal Wonder | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Music City Star | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Bourbon | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie M’lady | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cat Attack | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scent of Success | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s My Ride | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Break | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready At Midnight | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz a Queen | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Abbmar | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dare to Hope | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.