Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 25, 2020

September 25, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Covered Bridges S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 High On Chablis 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 One Sweet Step 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Flight to La Jolla 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Faster Than Hasta 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Holy Storm 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Hollyhook 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Edelman 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Going to Hollywood 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cowgirlsrunningrebel 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Slp Mighty High 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Spydashing 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Valley Junction Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 McClusky Mugger 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Df Fabulous Pilot 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 B Boujee 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Midnite Dynasty 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Lil Latin Lupe Lou 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Hadley Girl 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Wieburg 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 She Walks On Water 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Flying Jessie Girl 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Peves Silver Spur 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 A Fabulos Painting 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fdd Princess 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Two Rivers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ferrari James 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pyc Jess Bite Mydust 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Df Lord Garvan 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Three Olives N Smoke 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Heza Blues Man 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Jk Wildcat Red 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Marfilmio 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Saginaw Creek 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Zoomn On Bye 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Hooked On a Win 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Altoona Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A Valiant Diamond 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Budderlicous 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Df Tempting Cartel 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Vf Politics N Chicks 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Favorit Shake 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Southard Queen 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tipsy Girl B 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Dream Dynasty 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Undrafted 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Southern Sunshine 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Astranomical 99.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Divas First Moon 99.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Futurity) – Valley Junction Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Not a Secret 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Shadi Lady 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Purty Darn Quick 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Paint Me Brown 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Peves Blue Duck 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Easy Separatist 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Apollitical J Flash 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Fly Miss Corona Jess 30.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Synergized 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Signs of a Blue Moon 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ourbestfriend D L 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Island Song 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 His Giant 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Alex of Ice 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Wasabi Moon 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Always a Catch 10.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Touch ‘Em Up 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Titochip 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Back the Blue 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 I Am Ready Again 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Future Abundance 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Big Hearted Factor 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bigshot Lacewell 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quana Dude 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Gotta Love Ike 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 3 Big Macintosh 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Daddy Dave 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Swingin’ Sam 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Aleutian Harbour 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Kings Ridge 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Big Money Max 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Drastic 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shell Fire 2.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Golden Rule Haven 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Yak 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Superserg 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 R V T Thunder Road 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jazzy Justin 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Staccato 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Private Lake 20.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Dubnation 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Campaign Spy 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 He’s Munnie 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Five O One 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Holding Fast 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cave Run 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mystic Link 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Years Fly By 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Phillip Justin 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Beachhead 2.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Blame It On Jr 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 He’s a Big Dill 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Off Again On Again 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Point of Impact 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ready Or Not 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Dreamin for Real 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Gerdy’s Boy 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Knights Fork 30.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.