September 25, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tizme Bobby McGee | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Force | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kickin’ Kirby | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brees Bayou | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warfront Fighter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Constant Quest | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Make Or Break | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Breeze | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leeway | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gone Glimmering | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dipping In | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Frog | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mopolka | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Rose | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glass Ceiling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Local Hero | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Business Cycle | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wushu Warrior | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Sea | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Dan | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Snape | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mihos | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soldado | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Dunhill | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Build to Suit | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lenstar | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Bay Street Money | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimme Some Mo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lokoya Road | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Break Beat | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starting Over | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Tune | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunman | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Journey | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corkman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm Shooter | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doublepour | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devious Mo | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forty Two Ace | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Gator | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dante’s Map | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Misery Master | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Production Credit | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corey Scores | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Me Mo My | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skye Snow | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alley to Calvary | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Magic | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Henni Penny | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ava K’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quasar | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canarsie Angel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shannon’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stunning Munnings | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Over the Map | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smack | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Positive Skew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Abby Normal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Left Leaning Lucy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Bay | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blackjack Davey | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Percent | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unrelenting Force | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Farragut | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Access | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perpetrate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancers for Token | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sayyaaf | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Readyforprimetime | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Twelfth Labour | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Honey Won’t | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Fig Jelly | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Pagliacci | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pete’s Play Call | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Chaos | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Engine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mount Travers | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Prairie Tales | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Baby | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orma | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dream Chasing | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High School Crush | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menzamenz | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adorable Maya | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Fly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Teuflesberg | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gotta B Bold | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Leiha | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Here Comes Meg | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Beautiful Karen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Grape Therapy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.