September 21, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Overdogs | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doddsprivatelabel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Exchanger | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brandt | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Heart | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Royal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Champagne’s On Ice | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Top Hat Treason | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Travelin Gambler | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Guy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blip | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mister Mister | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Mason Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pride Leader | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shrew Meaning | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sundrenched | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lively Kitten | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broad Storm | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rooney | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alin Azul | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Sniveling | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | So Who’s Back | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Delight | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paz the Wine | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Flirtation | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tweety Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doodle Hopper | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Star Red | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credit Cycle | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Early Entry | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won the Case | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Sea | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Me | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretti Xtreme | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always a Queen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby’s Goldengirl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miko | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Streak | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s No Fool | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | End All Get All | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bi Bi Carpe | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Palatial Times | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boss Logic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The King Aquiles | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Relative Gold | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rush Henry Rush | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jaime Jamel | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Sun | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ribbon Winner | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Finest | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uplifted | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast Fionnuala | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mosalah | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Worstbestideaever | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Happycrest | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Appealing Honor | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Ambition | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Little Lion Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two Carat | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tink | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Song | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Account | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Coffee | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Punch | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lana | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | JHESSABELL | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | BELLFASTT | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | MIZZDORA | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | CONSIDER THESS | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | ON THE VERGE | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | MD FREE SPIRIT | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | FIRST CLASSS | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | CROWNN THESS | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.