Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 18, 2020

September 18, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Boss of You 15.00 0.4 1-1
1 1 My Super Sally 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Susi Sole 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Grand Entrada 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Broadway Trouper 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Thunderinthevalley 0.40 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 One Fat Kat 6.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Glory Song 6.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Inside Risk 3.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Rising Perry 5.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Gins and Tins 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dragon Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hay Boy 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Red Clay Road 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Absalom 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Air Force Jet (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sea Lover 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gone Home 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Strive for a Cure 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Victory Given 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Father’s Luck 15.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Time Flies By 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Meo Desperado 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cool Man Cletus 8.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Successful Zip 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Cause He’s Western 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bolita Boyz 8.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Jack Straight 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sunman 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 No More Talk 4.50 1.6 3-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Championship Alley 3.50 1.9 4-1
12 12 Persevered 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Johng 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Confectioner 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Neverhaveneverwill 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 More Twirl 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Brightwood 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Hinting 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Not Telling 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Zen Pi 15.00 3.4 7-1
10 10 Straitouta Congtin 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hushed Hijinks 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bob’s Glory 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Matsuda 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Curlee Fox 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Orange Punch 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hostile Witness 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Mint Game 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Just Chill Out 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Classy Solution 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Pistoleiro 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Senor Seville 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Paratycachaca 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stand My Ground 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 War Lance 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Fleet Admiral 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bear Treasure 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Moonshine 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bats Chance 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bold Trek 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Noble Lion 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fused 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cheers N Applause 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Girl Next Door 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Zig 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Don’tbaggagecheck 15.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Data Princess 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Adabel 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 A Toast to Kay 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lucky Ninety Nine 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Roaring Sidecar 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Oddseverinurfavor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lady Magica 12.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Foggy Dreams 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Algodonal 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Morgan’s Z Va 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Di 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Payntdembluesaway 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Little Skiff 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dance Or Stroll 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 To the Front 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Confusion Baby Boy 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kickstarter 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tastes Like Plaid 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Cowboy Gandhi 30.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mister Frank’s Way 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Neo 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Don Jupp 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shelly Island 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Devotion in Motion 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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