Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 16, 2020

September 16, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Castle Ambassador 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 I Am the Cash Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Iron Lad 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 2 Smart Tee 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Imminent Danger 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mac and Breeze 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Saponara 6.00 6 11-1
1A 5 My Cousin Rich 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Don’ttouchmystuff 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Gunfighter’s Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Lady Joanna 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Carmeltini 1.60 4 8-1
2 1 Ragazza Carina 4.00 4 8-1
1A 3 Just a Dream 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Lisa Mila 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 Tiz a Sharpie 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Our Claire Bear 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Private Party 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Thomas Knight 4.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Trusting Friend 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fifty 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Free for Nothing 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ask Chuck 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Fort Royal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bryce’s Philly 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Lady Valentina 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Yours Completely 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Nancy B 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Zensational Dixie 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Valiant Spirit 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Yellow Chick 4.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Pantaloni 5.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Sue’s Monster Baby 12.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 It’s a Shaw Thing 20.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Lucky’s Ransom 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Iwasbornawinner 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Aleda Lutz 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Point Lockout 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Deserted 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Not Leaving 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 3 Rumor Ridge 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 She’smyrisenstar 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Aussie Mist 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Her Divineness 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 4 Midnight Miracle 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 6 Double the Bet 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Blue Shine 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bearing Secrets 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dance and Dance 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sweet Maggie Mae 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Joycee’s Spirit 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 I’m Not Joking 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Theodosia 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Atina Salsa 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Friday Mass 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Hola Princess 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Catch Fire 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Brother Tez 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Threatlovesmidnite 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Flat Rate 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ride On Faith 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cape May Style 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dreamy Martini 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Tommy’s Top Cat 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Jones Taxi 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Mantle 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 New Hampshire 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Garban 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Marriedinshanghai 4.50 1.9 4-1
1A 3 Mischievous Juan 3.50 2 4-1
1 2 Principino 3.50 2.9 6-1
2X 6 Celtic Heart 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 7 Money Kid 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Call Me G Q 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Doctor Doom 10.00 7 13-1
2 6 Go Lime 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shanghai Superfly 1.60 1.7 3-1
7 7 Powerful Venezuela 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Hitmewthurbestshot 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Risque Rebel 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Informative 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Thousand Percent 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Manolito 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 3 King’s House 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 4 Pegasus Red 4.00 4 8-1
7 2 Sunrise Saturday 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 6 American Roma 15.00 6 11-1
4 1 Don’t Make It Easy 10.00 6.7 13-1
11 5 Salt It Here 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Samadi Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Metaphorical 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Iredell 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rockin Cowboy 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chelios 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bobcat 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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