September 12, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Don’t Charge It | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Party | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Include Gold | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Trappe Me Later | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dah Philly | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ola Gatita | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neva’s Gal | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Blue | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Relentless Lion | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Borsa Vento | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfetto | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cort’n Asong | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shotmaster | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team Tim | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Dynamic Miss | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Happiness | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Another Whim | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Magicgirl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bella Gianna | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Filly Ride | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | So Who’s Back | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broken English | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Delight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Toma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elite Appeal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Konstantinova | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Joanna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Smart Red | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | U S Constitution | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysinahurry | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Strong | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Are Awesome | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoulda Had It | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tio Juan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gracetown | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettyann | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trunk of Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virginia Beach | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Haze | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming Diamonds | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Shirley | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Had the Notion | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Workin On a Dream | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Your Place | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gravel Road | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Cover | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Smokin Now | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charge to Victory | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Thundershook | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Nileator | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | We B Jammin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Afterburner | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Year of the Kitten | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flowmotion | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Atreyu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mokheef | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rock Solid Golfer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Atta Kid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Foldover | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Dub | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander’s Intent | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Junior | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Federale | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savage Music | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gran Causeway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nomo d’Oro | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitontheside | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yei Yei | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshines Out | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.