September 5, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | It’s Pazible | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victorious Bear | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Run | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miami Steve | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissedthegirls | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fernwood Drive | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bad Sueno | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Biletnikoff | 1.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thekidsback | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Mr. Hand Full | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crescent Warrior | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Mysurewinwilliams | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Mason Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lethal Levy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | All Set | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Now | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enjoy the Music | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orange Punch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tides of War | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Camanoe | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trouble Coffee | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Galilean Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Bodie’s Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Your Daddy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feyre | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lorraine | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Girl | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Thrill | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Verbien O. P. | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Downtown Katie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prime Coat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glad Rock (GER) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackline | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Back to Back | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zaya | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Causforcelebration | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bayou Jam | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sadler Bay | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Centerfoldprospect | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maynooth | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mead Avenue | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Kater | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Anginetti | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Fireball | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flirtatious Lass | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Your Mother | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tak E Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop Talking | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Rachett | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Nina | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Three Coins | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gypsy Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tourbillon Rose | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Mistress | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Hap Now | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winrose Ellie | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sand in My Shoes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Black Coast | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Time | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Drive | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Curly Ruth | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | La Babia | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pat’s No Fool | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chiclet’s Dream | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Bramble Bay | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miko | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sundrenched | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Better Yet | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lagom | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Rooney | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Alice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Noble Intentions | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fine One Won | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Buzz Brauinger Arabian Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | JHESSABELL | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | IRIDESSE | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | ROYALLY BRED | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | MIZZDORA | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.