September 5, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kalypso | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Gift | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isn’t She Lovely | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agreetodisagree | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Blend | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queengol | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You’re All Talk | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tapwater | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heathers Grey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shines Her Light (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | She’s Our Charm | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whirl Candy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seiche | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitution | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munnings’ Pilot | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garth | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlito | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Armor | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A. P. Pharoah | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Claim of Passion | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Push Through | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Tommy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bench Judge | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tejon | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Doughnut | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Incredible Luck | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Caliente | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antithetical | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suances Secret | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Summer | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | From the Get Go | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cozy Bear | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swtswngngbillynav | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Bold | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wedding Groom | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hot Cat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stone’s River | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paisano | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Musket | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lemon Drop Shot | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gordy’s Boy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Detective Bernardo | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jamming Eddy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brix | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foster Boi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hit the Seam | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Offshore Affair | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zipper Mischief | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Dude | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Older Brother | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Severin | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Reality | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Portando | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Podres | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billy the Hott | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rick’s Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mean Sophia | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kalliniki | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormin Ranger | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Ginger | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Amanda | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Daniel the Dreamer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Run Like Kona | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Woman | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pasito | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thunder Woman | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musically | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Charm | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magnificent Q T | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Manresa | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Go Daddy Go | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cupid’s Claws | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubby Dubbie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Whooping Jay | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocky Tough | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberal (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muralist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Street Image | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caymans Cobra | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camby | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tobacco Road | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red Valor | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Octopus | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Master (FR) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Gronk | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Bean | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mister McLean | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Surfside Sunset | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Botero | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – John C. Mabee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Raymundos Secret | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zee Drop | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch the Eye | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meal Ticket | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick (GB) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nolo Contesto | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ronamo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Act | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friar’s Road | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizamagician | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adare | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Musawaat (GB) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strongconstitution | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Legend | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Race Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | The Street Fighter | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.