Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 5, 2020

September 5, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orcus 1.40 2.5 5-1
2 2 Alpha Boy 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rich E Z 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fort Ramsey 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pistol Box 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Switheral 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Angel Alessandra 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Juju’s Specialgirl 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Honey Mug 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Willow Moon 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Winning Quality 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sister Ruler 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chrome Attack 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Talking Zip 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Andreas 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Love Your Buttons 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Maligator 1.40 3.1 6-1
7 6 Tetsu 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Diamond Dave 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Midnight Joker 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Teletap 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Tan 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Best You Ever Seen 1.20 2.4 4-1
5 5 Dark Wood (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Messed Up 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Turfmeister 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Greenspan 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ihadadream 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 The First Hero 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beach Bar 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Forevernoa 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Goingtoagogo 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Peek a Boo I See U 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Brilliant Patina 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Hot Pepper Suzie 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bird Key 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kuora (PER) 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Quick Witted 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Oh So Terrible 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Russian Mafia 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Agi’s Cait 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Carissa Crismas 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Cowgirl Kimmie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grey Mask 2.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Campioni 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Willow Ridge 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Club Soda 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Knockyourblockoff 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Easter Music 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Dancin Nicky 30.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Greeleys Ice 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 J Z’s Last Try 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pharaoh’s Kitten 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Recklessness 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Dom Caetano (ARG) 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Huey Attack 3.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 High Spirits 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Classofsixtyseven 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 A Sheen Cat 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Off to the Beach 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Royal Trumpet 30.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Thai One On 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Givin Up None 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bee Happy Attack 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Lastfortinofamily 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bobbie too Too 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Irish Lighted Road 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Driver Dan 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Beracuda Heart 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Silver Hit 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Rocket Ride 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Nit Pick 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 To the Bank 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.